Crisis
Background
* What
really happened to AIG? (Washington
Post)
* Summary
*
Investigating
AIG, Part I: The Beautiful Machine
* Investigating AIG, Part II: A Crack
in the System
* Investigating AIG, Part III:
Downgrades & Downfall
*Overview of the
crisis by the Washington Post
* Paradigm
lost: Economists missed the brewing crisis. Now many are asking:
How can we do better? (Boston
Globe, 12/21/08)
Bad Incentives
* The Reckoning:
Pressured to Take More Risk, Fannie Reached Tipping Point (NYT, 10/4/08)
* Veterans of ’90s Bailout Hope for Profit in New
One (NYT, 12/08)
* Was bailing out Long-Term Capital Management a good
idea? (NYT, 12/08)
* Tax Break May Have Helped Cause Housing Bubble
(NYT, 12/19/08)
* House Bias: the
economic consequences of subsidizing homeownership, Stephen
Livinski (FRB-Richmond, Fall 2008)
Fiscal Stimulus Skeptics
* Economists have Abandoned Principle
by
Oliver Hart & Luigi Zingales (WSJ, 12/3/08)
* Fiscal
policy and the Fetishization of Measured GDP, by Tyler Cowen
(12/05/08)
* Measuring
the Effect of Infrastructure Spending on GDP by Susan Woodford
& Robert Hall (12/11/08)
* Spending
and Tax Multipliers, by N.
Gregory Mankiw (12/11/08)
* What
is the best kind of fiscal policy shock? by Tyler Cowen
(12/18/08)
* What are the effects
of fiscal policy shocks? by Andrew Mountford & Harald
Uhlig (NBER Working Paper #14551, 2008)
* Fiscal
policy and the burden of proof by Tyler Cowen (12/18/08)
* Japanese
fiscal policy in the 1990s by Tyler Cowen (12/21/08)
* Help
us Save our Homes by Megan McArdle (12/22/08)
* NYU
Econ Professor David Backus on the limits of a spending stimulus
by N. Gregory Mankiw (12/26/08)
* More
niggling on fiscal stimulus by Tyler Cowen (12/28/08)
* Against the Big Stimulus by Arnold Kling
(1/5/09)
* The New Deal Worked”: Why Do So Many
People Accept that as Fact? by Jonathan Bean (1/5/09)
* Boost Private
Investment to Boost the Economy: Excessive spending is what got
us into this mess in the first place.
(WSJ, 1/7/09)
* Is
Government Spending Too Easy an Answer? Greg
Mankiw in the NYT (1/10/09)
* More
spending stimulus skeptics by N. Gregory Mankiw (1/12/09)
* Government
Spending is No Free Lunch, by Robert Barro, WSJ (1/22/09). Economists
dump on Barro, by Tyler Cowen (1/23/09)
* An
$800 billion mistake by Martin Felstein, Washington Post (1/29/09)
* What's
missing in the stimulus plan? NYT
(1/29/09)
* Unorthodox
monetary policy vs. fiscal policy by Tyler Cowen (1/28/09)
The
New Role of the Fed
* Divorcing Money from
Monetary Policy, Todd Keister, Antoine Martin,
& James McAndrews (FRBNY, 9/08)
* Interpreting
the Monetary Base Under the New Monetary Regime by
Alex Tabarrok (12/01/08)
* Fed Explored
Starting Sales of Bonds as Balance Sheet Grows, Bloomberg
(12/10/08)
* Federal
Reserve Balance Sheet by James Hamilton (12/21/08)
* Interest on
reserves (12/22/08) Tyler comments here.
* Fed has abandoned monetary policy, critic says (Reuters, Jan 4, 2009)
Papers
on the crisis at the AEA Meetings--January 2009
* The
aftermath of financial crises, by Carmen M. Reinhart
* Financial
Instability, Reserves, and Central Bank Swap Lines in the Panic of 2008,
by Maurice Obstfeld, Jay Shambaugh, and Alan Taylor
* Implementing
the New Fiscal Policy Activism by Alan Auerbach
* The
Lack of an Empirical Rationale for a Revival of Discretionary Fiscal
Policy, by John Taylor
* Paulson's
Gift, by Pietro Veronesi and Luigi Zingales
* Article in the Chronicle on Higher Education on
the heated debate about the crisis at the meetings.
* Information,
Liquidity, and the (Ongoing) Panic of 2007 by Gary Gorton,
described by Tyler Cowen
here as an excellent paper on the REPO market
The
Question of Bank Nationalization
*
Message
to Regulators: Bank Fix Needed Quickly, by Tyler Cowen (NYT, 3/1/09)
* Bank
solvency and the "Geithner Plan" by John Hempton (2/16/09)
* The
Bailout Is Robbing the Banks (The difference between banks and bank
holding companies) by John Coats and David Scharfstein (NYT, 2/17/09)
* More on That Dirty Word
"Nationalization" and Possible Approaches by Yves Smith (Naked Capitalism, 2/22/09)
New
News
* The
Economic Outlook by Arnold Kling (12/11/08)
* Signs
of a Thaw by James Hamilton
(1/11/09)
* Comparing
Recessions and an important
update, Alex Tabarrok (1/12/09)
* Poor
Man's Burden by William
Easterly, Foreign
Policy (Jan./Feb. 2009)
* Unfairly Rewarding Greedy Bankers, and Why
It Works, Steven Pearlstein, Washington
Post (1/14/08)
* Leave the New Deal in the
History Books: cut corporate taxes to zero and create real jobs,
Mark Levey, WSJ (1/17/09)
* Sports Mania Is a Poor
Substitute for Economic Success, Jerry Bowyer, WSJ (1/17/09)
* Is
the Great Depression the right
comparison? Blog post
by Kevin Grier; WSJ editorial by Alberto
Alesina and Luigi Zingales (1/21/09)
* Everything You
Wanted to Know about Credit Default Swaps--but Were Never Told, by
Peter Wallison (1/25/09)
* Obama's Dangerous Bank
Bailout, by Holman Jenkins, WSJ
(2/4/09)
* The
Difficulties of a Housing Stimulus, by Alex Tabarrok and a good
follow-up piece
by Tyler Cowen.
* The
Economic Need for Stable Policies, Not a Stimulus by Jeffrey Sachs (Scientific American, 2/09)
* An open letter to Mr. Krugman
by Scott Sumner (3/1/09) and Sumner's reply
to Krugman
* Did the
Fed Cause the Housing Crisis? various authors in the WSJ (3/26/09)
Note: There are many good websites
that follow the crisis. I would highly recommend www.marginalrevolution.com,
which is the source for most of the above links.
Also recommended are www.econbrowser.com
and www.calculatedriskblog.com.
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