James Hawthorne

Professor
Department of Philosophy
University of Oklahoma

Formal Epistemology,
Philosophy of Logic
and Mathematics,
Philosophy of Science

hawthorne@ou.edu

My research primarily involves the investigation of logics of evidential support, especially the probabilistic inductive logic called Bayesian Inference or Bayesian Confirmation Theory. I also work on logics of comparative support, belief, and comparative plausibility (e.g., the logic of X is at least as plausible as Y).

 

About my work and views on Probability and Statistics:

James Hawthorne : in A. Hajek and V.F. Hendricks (eds.), Probability and Statistics: 5 Questions Chapter 6, 2009 , Automated Press, pp. 65-74. final draft in pdf

Inductive Logic and Confirmation Theory:

Inductive Logic : The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy (Sept. 2004, revised Feb. 2008, major revision June 2011), Edward N. Zalta (ed.); pdf version available from theSEP, 151 pages. Online version at <http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/logic-inductive/>. Draft of April 2011 revision available here draft in pdf.

Confirmation Theory : in Prasanta S. Bandyopadhyay and Malcolm Forster (eds.), Philosophy of Statistics: Handbook of the Philosophy of Science, Volume 7, 2011, Elsevier, pp. 333-389. final draft in pdf

Bayesian Confirmation Theory : in S. French and J. Saatsi (eds.), The Continuum Companion to the Philosophy of Science, 2011, Continuum Press, pp. 197-213. final draft in pdf

The Wason Task(s) and the Paradox of Confirmation : with Branden Fitelson, Philosophical Perspectives, 24, Epistemology, 2010, pp. 207-241, Elsevier. final draft in pdf

An Even Better Solution to the Paradox of the Ravens : supplement to The Wason Task(s) and the Paradox of Confirmation, 13 pages in manuscript. draft in pdf

How Bayesian Confirmation Theory Handles the Paradox of the Ravens : with Branden Fitelson, forthcoming in James Fetzer and Ellery Eells (eds.), The Place of Probability in Science, 2010, Springer. final draft in pdf

Degree-of-Belief and Degree-of-Support: Why Bayesians Need Both Notions : Mind, v. 114, no. 454, 2005, pp. 277-320. final draft in pdf

Re-solving Irrelevant Conjunction with Probabilistic Independence : with Branden Fitelson, Philosophy of Science, v. 71, no. 4, 2004, pp. 505-514. final draft in pdf

On the Nature of Bayesian Convergence : PSA1994, v. 1, 1994, pp. 241-249. final draft in pdf

Bayesian Induction Is Eliminative Induction : Philosophical Topics, v. 21, no. 1, 1993, pp. 99-138. final draft in pdf

Giving Up Judgement Empiricism: The Bayesian Epistemology of Bertrand Russell and Grover Maxwell : C. W. Savage and C. A. Anderson (eds.), Rereading Russell: Essays on Bertrand Russell's Metaphysics and Epistemology, Minnesota Studies in Philosophy of Science, v. 12, 1989, University of Minnesota Press, pp. 234-248. final draft in pdf

The Logic of Belief:

Voting in Search of the Public Good: the Probabilistic Logic of Majority Judgments : unpublished manuscript. draft in pdf

The Lockean Thesis and the Logic of Belief : Franz Huber and Christoph Schmidt-Petri (eds.), Degrees of Belief, 2009, Synthese Library 342, pp. 49-74. final draft in pdf

Three Models of Sequential Belief Updating on Uncertain Evidence : Journal of Philosophical Logic, v. 33, no. 1, 2004, pp. 89-123. final draft in pdf

The Preface, the Lottery, and the Logic of Belief : with Luc Bovens, Mind, v. 108, no. 430, 1999, pp. 241-264. final draft in pdf

Logics of Nonmonotonic Conditionals Related to Conditional Probabilities:

A Primer on Rational Consequence Relations, Popper Functions, and their Ranked Structures : Studia Logica, forthcoming, 18 pages in manuscript. draft in pdf

Appendix to A Primer on Rational Consequence Relations,Popper Functions, and their Ranked Structures : the appendix to A Primer on Rational Consequence Relations, Popper Functions, and their Ranked Structures only available online --- draft in pdf

The Quantitative/Qualitative Watershed for Rules of Uncertain Inference : with David Makinson, Studia Logica, v. 86, no. 2, 2007, pp. 247-297. final draft in pdf

Nonmonotonic Conditionals that Behave Like Conditional Probabilities Above a Threshold : Journal of Applied Logic, v. 5, no. 4, 2007, pp. 625-637. final draft in pdf

On the Logic of Nonmonotonic Conditionals and Conditional Probabilities: Predicate Logic : Journal of Philosophical Logic, v. 27, no. 1, 1998, pp. 1-34. final draft in pdf

On the Logic of Nonmonotonic Conditionals and Conditional Probabilities : Journal of Philosophical Logic, v. 25, no. 2, 1996, pp. 185-218. final draft in pdf

A Semantic Approach to Non-Monotonic Entailments : J. F. Lemmer and L. N. Kanal (eds.), Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence 2, 1988, Elsevier Science Publishers, B.V. (North-Holland), pp. 251-262. final draft in pdf

Logic, Mathematics, and the Sciences:

Mathematical Instrumentalism Meets the Conjunction Objection : Journal of Philosophical Logic, v. 25, no. 4, 1996, pp. 363-397. final draft in pdf

For Whom the Bell Arguments Toll : with Michael Silberstein, Synthese, v. 102, 1995, pp. 99-138. final draft in pdf

Validity in Intensional Languages: A New Approach : with William H. Hanson, Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic, v. 26, no. 1, 1985, pp. 9-35. final draft in pdf