James Hawthorne

Professor
Department of Philosophy
University of Oklahoma

Formal Epistemology,
Philosophy of Logic
and Mathematics,
Philosophy of Science

hawthorne@ou.edu

My research primarily involves the investigation of logics of evidential support, especially the probabilistic inductive logic called Bayesian Inference or Bayesian Confirmation Theory. I also work on logics of comparative support, belief, and comparative plausibility (e.g., the logic of X is at least as plausible as Y).

Brief CV.

About my work and views on Probability and Statistics:

James Hawthorne : in A. Hajek and V.F. Hendricks (eds.), Probability and Statistics: 5 Questions Chapter 6, 2009 , Automated Press, pp. 65-74. final draft in pdf

Inductive Logic and Confirmation Theory:

A Logic of Comparative Support: Qualitative Conditional Probability Relations Representable by Popper Functions : forthcoming in A. Hajek and C. Hitchcock (eds.), The Oxford Handbook of Probability and Philosophy, Oxford U. Press, 19 pages in manuscript. Draft of final revision draft in pdf.

Inductive Logic : The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy (Sept. 2004, revised Feb. 2008, major revision June 2011), Edward N. Zalta (ed.); pdf version available from theSEP, 151 pages. Online version at <http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/logic-inductive/>. Draft of April 2011 revision available here draft in pdf.

Confirmation Theory : in Prasanta S. Bandyopadhyay and Malcolm Forster (eds.), Philosophy of Statistics: Handbook of the Philosophy of Science, Volume 7, 2011, Elsevier, pp. 333-389. final draft in pdf

Bayesian Confirmation Theory : in S. French and J. Saatsi (eds.), The Continuum Companion to the Philosophy of Science, 2011, Continuum Press, pp. 197-213. final draft in pdf

The Wason Task(s) and the Paradox of Confirmation : with Branden Fitelson, Philosophical Perspectives, 24, Epistemology, 2010, pp. 207-241, Elsevier. final draft in pdf

An Even Better Solution to the Paradox of the Ravens : supplement to The Wason Task(s) and the Paradox of Confirmation, 13 pages in manuscript. draft in pdf

How Bayesian Confirmation Theory Handles the Paradox of the Ravens : with Branden Fitelson, forthcoming in James Fetzer and Ellery Eells (eds.), The Place of Probability in Science, 2010, Springer. final draft in pdf

Degree-of-Belief and Degree-of-Support: Why Bayesians Need Both Notions : Mind, v. 114, no. 454, 2005, pp. 277-320. final draft in pdf

Re-solving Irrelevant Conjunction with Probabilistic Independence : with Branden Fitelson, Philosophy of Science, v. 71, no. 4, 2004, pp. 505-514. final draft in pdf

On the Nature of Bayesian Convergence : PSA1994, v. 1, 1994, pp. 241-249. final draft in pdf

Bayesian Induction Is Eliminative Induction : Philosophical Topics, v. 21, no. 1, 1993, pp. 99-138. final draft in pdf

Giving Up Judgement Empiricism: The Bayesian Epistemology of Bertrand Russell and Grover Maxwell : C. W. Savage and C. A. Anderson (eds.), Rereading Russell: Essays on Bertrand Russell's Metaphysics and Epistemology, Minnesota Studies in Philosophy of Science, v. 12, 1989, University of Minnesota Press, pp. 234-248. final draft in pdf

The Logic of Belief:

Voting in Search of the Public Good: the Probabilistic Logic of Majority Judgments : unpublished manuscript. draft in pdf

The Lockean Thesis and the Logic of Belief : Franz Huber and Christoph Schmidt-Petri (eds.), Degrees of Belief, 2009, Synthese Library 342, pp. 49-74. final draft in pdf

Three Models of Sequential Belief Updating on Uncertain Evidence : Journal of Philosophical Logic, v. 33, no. 1, 2004, pp. 89-123. final draft in pdf

The Preface, the Lottery, and the Logic of Belief : with Luc Bovens, Mind, v. 108, no. 430, 1999, pp. 241-264. final draft in pdf

Logics of Nonmonotonic Conditionals Related to Conditional Probabilities:

A Primer on Rational Consequence Relations, Popper Functions, and their Ranked Structures : Studia Logica, v. 102, no. 4, 2014, pp. 731-749. draft in pdf

Appendix to A Primer on Rational Consequence Relations,Popper Functions, and their Ranked Structures : the appendix to A Primer on Rational Consequence Relations, Popper Functions, and their Ranked Structures only available online --- draft in pdf

The Quantitative/Qualitative Watershed for Rules of Uncertain Inference : with David Makinson, Studia Logica, v. 86, no. 2, 2007, pp. 247-297. final draft in pdf

Nonmonotonic Conditionals that Behave Like Conditional Probabilities Above a Threshold : Journal of Applied Logic, v. 5, no. 4, 2007, pp. 625-637. final draft in pdf

On the Logic of Nonmonotonic Conditionals and Conditional Probabilities: Predicate Logic : Journal of Philosophical Logic, v. 27, no. 1, 1998, pp. 1-34. final draft in pdf

On the Logic of Nonmonotonic Conditionals and Conditional Probabilities : Journal of Philosophical Logic, v. 25, no. 2, 1996, pp. 185-218. final draft in pdf

A Semantic Approach to Non-Monotonic Entailments : J. F. Lemmer and L. N. Kanal (eds.), Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence 2, 1988, Elsevier Science Publishers, B.V. (North-Holland), pp. 251-262. final draft in pdf

Logic, Mathematics, and the Sciences:

Mathematical Instrumentalism Meets the Conjunction Objection : Journal of Philosophical Logic, v. 25, no. 4, 1996, pp. 363-397. final draft in pdf

For Whom the Bell Arguments Toll : with Michael Silberstein, Synthese, v. 102, 1995, pp. 99-138. final draft in pdf

Validity in Intensional Languages: A New Approach : with William H. Hanson, Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic, v. 26, no. 1, 1985, pp. 9-35. final draft in pdf