Completed Projects/ Projects Under Review:

 

The Impact of Public Information on Bidding, in Highway Procurement Auctions (with Dakshina G. De Silva, Timothy Dunne and Anuruddha Kankanamge)

 

Abstract:

A number of papers in the theoretical auction literature show that the release of information regarding the seller’s valuation of an item can cause bidders to bid more aggressively. This widely accepted result in auction theory remains largely untested in the empirical literature. Recent theoretical work has also shown that this effect can be more pronounced in auctions with larger common cost uncertainty. We examine the impact of a policy change by the Oklahoma Department of Transportation that led to the release of the state’s internal estimate of the costs to complete highway construction projects. We perform a differences-in-differences analysis comparing bidding in Texas, a state that had a uniform policy of revealing the same information all throughout the period of analysis, to bidding in Oklahoma.  Our results show that, in comparison to Texas auctions, the average bid in Oklahoma fell after the change in engineers’ cost estimate (ECE) policy.  This decline in bids was even larger for projects where the common uncertainty in costs is greater. Moreover, the within-auction standard deviation of bids fell after the change in ECE policy with the most significant decline observed again in projects with greater common cost uncertainty. 

 

 

Phantom Bidding in Common Value Auctions

 

Abstract:

 

This paper examines the practice of phantom bidding in an asymmetric common value auction in which the auctioneer has a chance to observe the number of interested bidders before he decides to place a fictitious bid. We find that the auctioneer is worse off submitting low bids or mixing between his participation strategies. Phantom bidding can generate benefits to the auctioneer only if it is likely to encounter a single high bidder at the auction and/or if the marginal effect of a single high estimate on the value of the item is significant. In a common value environment, systematic observation of an outlier estimate entails an atypical negative correlation in the bidders' estimates of the value. Hence, it is more likely to encounter a single high bidder if the number of active participants is small. In such a setting, the informational advantage of the auctioneer can help improve his payoffs.

 

Sequential location and price choices in two-dimentional spatial competition (with Jacob dearmon).

 

Abstract:

 

This paper examines a sequential entry game in two-dimensional space covering a range of transportation costs for three different distributions defining consumer locations. Firms evaluate their location and pricing choices conditional on consumers' characteristics. As the transportation cost rises, we observe dramatic increases in prices, profits, and a decline in social welfare. In contrast to much of the spatial literature, the first mover does not always appear to have an advantage over subsequent entrants; a later entrant receives on average higher profit for a low transportation cost. As the transportation cost continues to increase, all firms' profits are slowly eroded. Further increases in transportation cost create spatial barriers between firms that transform the market structure from competitive to monopolistic. Firm distance (describing the level of product differentiation) is best characterized by a U-shaped curve with the minimum value realized for intermediate transportation cost.

 

The Effect of Information on the Bidding and Survival of Entrants in Procurement Auctions (with Dakshina G. De Silva and Carlos Lamarche).

 

Abstract:

 

This paper examines the impact of a policy change by the Oklahoma Department of Transportation on the bidding patterns of entrants and incumbents, and the survival rates of entrants in highway procurement auctions. The Department of Transportation in Oklahoma, in April of 2000, started releasing along with the project plans, the state's internal estimate of the costs to complete highway construction projects. We found that entrants bid more aggressively and won auctions with significantly lower bids than incumbents before April 2000 but the bidding differential decreased substantially since then. The discrepancy in their bidding patterns across periods can be attributed to informational and cost asymmetries. The release of information made all bidders in general, and the entrants in particular, less susceptible to the winner's curse. As a result, the reduction in informational asymmetries, induced by the policy change, weakened the stochastic dominance relation between the bidding distributions of the two groups at the lower end. We also found that, entrants continue bidding for an extended period of time after the policy change, suggesting higher survival rates in the procurement auctions.

 

Work In Progress:

 

COMPETITIVE COUPON OFFERING (WITH qIHONG lIU).

 

Minority Set-Aside Projects: Firm Participation and Bidding in Highway Procurement Auctions (with Dakshina G. De Silva and Timothy Dunne).

 

Endogenous Entry decision and bidding in procurement auctions (with Dakshina De silva and Thomas Jeitschko). 

 

information acquisition in private value auctions (with Dakshina De silva and Thomas Jeitschko).

OU Home | Disclaimer | Copyright | Equal Opportunity | OU Web Policy