Wednesday, September 20, 2006

Al-Qaida Plans for Syria

Here is a note I received from Massoud Derhally of Arabian Business about a documentary al-Jazeera is showing on al-Qa`ida in the Levant. It explains how al-Qa`ida leaders hope to open a new front in Syria and the states surrounding Palestine.

Al Jazeera ran on Sept 18 the second part of a documentary by Yusri Fouda on Al Qaeda in "Bilad al Sham". The thesis is that inherently Al-Qaeda has a forward looking plan that was to attack the US, draw America to the Middle East and then fight it (i.e. in Iraq) and then exploit that conflict to get to the Palestinian front using Damascus and Lebanon.

The documentary interviews among others the son of Azzam who I am sure you know was instrumental in indoctrinating OBL in his early days before he jumped ship to Zawahri. It also interviews the founder of Junood Al Sham, and several Jihadi veterans from the war in Afghanistan and Iraq.

The seminal point the documentary makes is that "the youth are jaded with the corruption in the Arab world and an impotent leadership" so much so, that bright, educated people like Mohammad Atta (this is the documentary's assessment not mine) turn to religion as a means to an end.

In fact the founder of Junood Al Sham is on record saying the only way to fight Israel is to turn to religion and that when you do so as a fighter, you are fearless.

This zealous fervor invariably is the panacea to the "Zionist-American-Western" axis, several of the interviewees hold.

An interesting and worrying dimension to all this was the existing and growing Salafist movement in Lebanon, namely in mountainous areas and even places like Baalbak where one of the 19 hijackers that carried out the Sept.. 11 attacks was from.

The documentary goes on to narrate how Al Qaeda's man in Lebanon was arrested and then 'died' in detention. His supporters claim he was tortured and killed.

This all really is put in the context of a prophetic turn of events, where on the one hand there is a literal reading to Quranic texts to explain what is taking place on the ground in the ME region and on the other hand, a blue print of Al Qaeda's greater plans, that in many ways is at the other end of say the Christian Right ideology, that is actively trying to prepare the world for the coming of the Messiah.

The exception is that Al Qaeda and the Salafists don't really see their struggle as part of preparing for such a showdown, but in essence more as confronting the infidel and crusaders.

There are some alarming clips in the documentary, where Azzam's son says there will be something like 960,000 fighters in Damascus, specifically Halab, where there will be a battle against the invading forces.

Anyway the punch line which I think you will be interested in is that the documentary assesses Syria, Lebanon and other countries can turn to America, as they have, and point to this ominous and growing radicalization, and say we can help you in this war on terror, and that if you think for a moment that there is an alternative to the status quo it lies in the nexus of this fanaticism that spreads from Iraq, to Jordan, Egypt to Syria, Lebanon and Palestine.

Best, Massoud
Lawrence Wright, who has recently published his block buster book on al-Qa`ida, The Looming Tower, which is the best al-Qa`ida book to date, has written about these plans in his latest New Yorker article: (I am copying less than half the original article. It is all worth reading.)
The Master Plan, by Lawrence Wright
For the new theorists of jihad, Al Qaeda is just the beginning.
From the Issue of 2006-09-11

Suri believed that the jihadi movement had nearly been extinguished by the drying up of financial resources, the killing or capture of many terrorist leaders, the loss of safe havens, and the increasing international coöperation among police agencies. (The British authorities were pursuing him as a suspect in the 1995 Paris Métro bombings.) Accordingly, he saw the Taliban’s takeover of Afghanistan, in 1996, as a “golden opportunity,” and he went there the following year. He set up a military camp in Afghanistan, and experimented with chemical weapons. He also arranged bin Laden’s first television interview with CNN. The journalist Peter Bergen, who spent several days in Suri’s company while producing the segment, and who recently published an oral history, “The Osama bin Laden I Know,” recalled, “He was tough and really smart. He seemed like a real intellectual, very conversant with history, and he had an intense seriousness of purpose. He certainly impressed me more than bin Laden.”

In 1999, Suri sent bin Laden an e-mail accusing him of endangering the Taliban regime with his highly theatrical attacks on American targets. And he mocked bin Laden’s love of publicity: “I think our brother has caught the disease of screens, flashes, fans, and applause.” In his writings, Suri rarely mentioned Al Qaeda and disavowed any direct connection to it, despite having served on its inner council. He preferred to speak more broadly of jihad, which he saw as a social movement, encompassing “all those who bear weapons—individuals, groups, and organizations—and wage jihad on the enemies of Islam.” By 2000, he had begun predicting the end of Al Qaeda, whose preëminence he portrayed as a stage in the development of the worldwide Islamist uprising. “Al Qaeda is not an organization, it is not a group, nor do we want it to be,” he writes. “It is a call, a reference, a methodology.” Eventually, its leadership would be eliminated, he said. (Suri himself was captured in Pakistan in November, 2005. American intelligence sources confirmed that Suri is in the custody of another country but refused to disclose his exact location.) In the time that remained to Al Qaeda, he argued, its main goal should be to stimulate other groups around the world to join the jihadi movement. His legacy, as he saw it, was to codify the doctrines that animated Islamist jihad, so that Muslim youths of the future could discover the cause and begin their own, spontaneous religious war.

In 2002, Suri, in his hideout in Iran, began writing his defining work, “Call for Worldwide Islamic Resistance,” which is sixteen hundred pages long and was published on the Internet in December, 2004. Didactic and repetitive, but also ruthlessly candid, the book dissects the faults of the jihadi movement and lays out a plan for the future of the struggle. The goal, he writes, is “to bring about the largest number of human and material casualties possible for America and its allies.” He specifically targets Jews, “Westerners in general,” the members of the NATO alliance, Russia, China, atheists, pagans, and hypocrites, as well as “any type of external enemy.” (The proliferation of adversaries mirrors Al Qaeda’s hatred of all other ideologies.)

And yet, at the same time, he bitterly blames Al Qaeda for dragging the entire jihadi movement into an unequal battle that it is likely to lose. Unlike most jihadi theorists, Suri acknowledges the setback caused by September 11th. He laments the demise of the Taliban, which he and other Salafi jihadis considered the modern world’s only true Islamic government. America’s “war on terror,” he complains, doesn’t discriminate between Al Qaeda adherents and Muslims in general. “Many loyal Muslims,” he writes, believe that the September 11th attacks “justified the American assault and have given it a legitimate rationale for reoccupying the Islamic world.” But Suri goes on to argue that America’s plans for international domination were already evident “in the likes of Nixon and Kissinger,” and that this agenda would have been pursued without the provocation of September 11th. Moreover, the American attack on Afghanistan was not really aimed at capturing or killing bin Laden; its true goal was to sweep away the Taliban and eliminate the rule of Islamic law.

In Suri’s view, the underground terrorist movement—that is, Al Qaeda and its sleeper cells—is defunct. This approach was “a failure on all fronts,” because of its inability to achieve military victory or to rally the Muslim people to its cause. He proposes that the next stage of jihad will be characterized by terrorism created by individuals or small autonomous groups (what he terms “leaderless resistance”), which will wear down the enemy and prepare the ground for the far more ambitious aim of waging war on “open fronts”—an outright struggle for territory. He explains, “Without confrontation in the field and seizing control of the land, we cannot establish a state, which is the strategic goal of the resistance.”

Suri acknowledges that the “Jewish enemy, led by America and its nonbelieving, apostate, hypocritical allies,” enjoys overwhelming military superiority, but he argues that the spiritual commitment of the jihadis is equally formidable. He questions Al Qaeda’s opposition to democracy, which offers radical Islamists an opportunity to “secretly use this comfortable and relaxed atmosphere to spread out, reorganize their ranks, and acquire broader public bases.” In many Arabic states, there is a predictable cycle of official tolerance and savage repression, which can work in favor of the Islamists. If the Islamists “open the way for political moderation,” Suri writes, they will “stretch out horizontally along the base and spread. So they once again exterminate and jihad grows yet again! So then they try to open things up once again, and Islam stretches out and expands again!”

The Bush Administration has declared a “war of ideas” against Islamism, Suri observes, and has had some success; he cites the modification of textbooks in many Muslim countries. This effort, he writes, must be countered by the propagation of the jihadi creed—and this is what his book attempts to do, offering a minutely detailed account of the tenets of Salafi jihadism. Suri urges his readers to reject their own repressive governments and to rise up against Western occupation and Zionism. Although the leaders of Al Qaeda have long excused the slaughter of innocents, and many of its attacks have been directed at other Muslims, Suri specifically cautions against harming other Muslims, women and children who may be nonbelievers, and other noncombatants.

Suri addresses the issue of Israel, writing that “the Zionist presence in Palestine” is an insult to Muslims; but he also excoriates the secular Palestinian National Authority that governs the country. “Armed jihad is the only solution,” he advises. “Every mujahid must wage jihad against all forms of normalization—its institutions, officials, and advocates . . . destroying them and assassinating those who rely on them . . . while paying attention not to harm Muslims by mistake.”

There are five regions, according to Suri, where jihadis should focus their energies: Afghanistan, Central Asia, Yemen, Morocco, and, especially, Iraq. The American occupation of Iraq, he declares, inaugurated a “historical new period” that almost single-handedly rescued the jihadi movement just when many of its critics thought it was finished.

The invasion of Iraq posed a dilemma for Al Qaeda. Iraq is a largely Shiite nation, and Al Qaeda is composed of Sunnis who believe that the Shia are heretics. Shortly before the invasion, in March, 2003, bin Laden issued his own list of targets, which included Jordan, Morocco, Nigeria, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Yemen—not Afghanistan or Iraq. Presumably, he regarded the chances of a Taliban resurgence as remote; moreover, he was aware that an Iraqi insurgency could ignite an Islamic civil war and lead to ethnic cleansing of the Sunni minority.

The American occupation posed a major opportunity, however, for a man named Abu Musab al-Zarqawi....

Zarqawi and his men were putting into action the vision that Abu Musab al-Suri had laid out for them: small, spontaneous groups carrying out individual acts of terror in Europe, and an open struggle for territory in Iraq.

Suicide bombings became a trademark of Zarqawi’s operation, despite Maqdisi’s condemnation of the practice....

Within radical Islamist circles, Zarqawi’s gory executions and attacks on Muslims at prayer became a source of controversy. From prison, Maqdisi chastised his former protégé. “The pure hands of jihad fighters must not be stained by shedding inviolable blood,” he wrote in an article that was posted on his Web site in July, 2004. “There is no point in vengeful acts that terrify people, provoke the entire world against mujahideen, and prompt the world to fight them.” Maqdisi also advised jihadis not to go to Iraq, “because it will be an inferno for them. This is, by God, the biggest catastrophe.”

Zarqawi angrily refuted Maqdisi’s remarks, saying that he took orders only from God; however, he was beginning to realize that his efforts in Iraq were another dead end for jihad. “The space of movement is starting to get smaller,” he had written to bin Laden in June. ...

In July, 2005, Ayman al-Zawahiri, Al Qaeda’s chief ideologue and second-in-command, attempted to steer the nihilistic Zarqawi closer to the founders’ original course. In a letter, he outlined the next steps for the Iraqi jihad: “The first stage: Expel the Americans from Iraq. The second stage: Establish an Islamic authority or emirate, then develop it and support it until it achieves the level of a caliphate. . . . The third stage: Extend the jihad wave to the secular countries neighboring Iraq. The fourth stage: It may coincide with what came before—the clash with Israel, because Israel was established only to challenge any new Islamic entity.”

Zawahiri advised Zarqawi to moderate his attacks on Iraqi Shiites and to stop beheading hostages. “We are in a battle,” Zawahiri reminded him. “And more than half of this battle is taking place in the battlefield of the media.”

Zarqawi did not heed Al Qaeda’s requests. As the Iraqi jihad fell into barbarism, Al Qaeda’s leaders began advising their followers to go to Sudan or Kashmir, where the chances of victory seemed more promising. Al Qaeda, meanwhile, was confronting a new problem, which one of its prime thinkers, Abu Bakr Naji, had already anticipated, in an Internet document titled “The Management of Savagery.”

Naji’s identity is unknown. Other Islamist writers have said that he was Tunisian, but a Saudi newspaper identified him as Jordanian....

In 2005, Hussein produced what is perhaps the most definitive outline of Al Qaeda’s master plan: a book titled “Al-Zarqawi: The Second Generation of Al Qaeda.” Although it is largely a favorable biography of Zarqawi and his movement, Hussein incorporates the insights of other Al Qaeda members—notably, Saif al-Adl, the security chief.

It is chilling to read this work and realize how closely recent events seem to be hewing to Al Qaeda’s forecasts. Based on interviews with Zarqawi and Adl, Hussein claims that dragging Iran into conflict with the United States is key to Al Qaeda’s strategy. Expanding the area of conflict in the Middle East will cause the U.S. to overextend its forces. According to Hussein, Al Qaeda believes that Iran expects to be attacked by the U.S., because of its interest in building a nuclear weapon. “Accordingly, Iran is preparing to retaliate for or abort this strike by means of using powerful cards in its hand,” he writes. These tactics include targeting oil installations in the Persian Gulf, which could cut off sixty per cent of the world’s oil supplies, destabilizing Western economies.

In an ominous passage, Hussein notes that “for fifteen years—or since the end of the first Gulf War—Iran has been busy building a secret global army of highly trained personnel and the necessary financial and technological capabilities to carry out any kind of mission.” He is clearly referring to Hezbollah, which has so far focussed its attention on Israel. According to Hussein, “Iran has identified American and Jewish targets around the world. This secret army is led by two professional Lebanese men who have pledged full allegiance to Iran and who hold enough of a grudge against the Americans to qualify them to inflict damage on Jewish and American interests around the world.”

Iran, he continues, has been cultivating good relations with other Palestinian resistance groups, including Hamas. “Iran views these parties as its entrenched wings in occupied Palestine,” Hussein writes, asserting that the peace talks between Israelis and Palestinians at the Egyptian resort town of Sharm al-Sheikh in February, 2005, were secretly aimed at countering Iranian influence on the Palestinian resistance. “Al Qaeda interpreted this as the first step toward launching an attack on Iran,” Hussein claims. Both the U.S. and Israel view Hezbollah, the Islamist group in Lebanon, as a creature of the Iranian state, and are intent on eliminating it. “The military campaign against Iran will begin when the United States and Israel succeed in disarming Hezbollah,” Hussein predicts.

Hussein claims, without offering evidence, that Iran already has thirty thousand intelligence agents in Iraq. “Since the Americans have not succeeded in eliminating the Sunni resistance, how can they deal with the situation if the Shiites join the resistance? Iran plans to incite its proponents in Iraq to join the anti-U.S. resistance in the event that the United States or Israel launches an attack on Iran. Iran plans to open its border to the resistance and provide it with what it needs to achieve a swift and major victory against the Americans.” Al Qaeda, he writes, also expects the Americans to go after Iran’s principal ally in the region, Syria. The removal of the Assad regime—a longtime goal of jihadis—will allow the country to be infiltrated by Al Qaeda, putting the terrorists within reach, at last, of Israel....

Al Qaeda’s twenty-year plan began on September 11th, with a stage that Hussein calls “The Awakening.” The ideologues within Al Qaeda believed that “the Islamic nation was in a state of hibernation,” because of repeated catastrophes inflicted upon Muslims by the West. By striking America—“the head of the serpent”—Al Qaeda caused the United States to “lose consciousness and act chaotically against those who attacked it. This entitled the party that hit the serpent to lead the Islamic nation.” This first stage, says Hussein, ended in 2003, when American troops entered Baghdad.

The second, “Eye-Opening” stage will last until the end of 2006, Hussein writes. Iraq will become the recruiting ground for young men eager to attack America. In this phase, he argues, perhaps wishfully, Al Qaeda will move from being an organization to “a mushrooming invincible and popular trend.” The electronic jihad on the Internet will propagate Al Qaeda’s ideas, and Muslims will be pressed to donate funds to make up for the seizure of terrorist assets by the West. The third stage, “Arising and Standing Up,” will last from 2007 to 2010. Al Qaeda’s focus will be on Syria and Turkey, but it will also begin to directly confront Israel, in order to gain more credibility among the Muslim population.

In the fourth stage, lasting until 2013, Al Qaeda will bring about the demise of Arab governments. “The creeping loss of the regimes’ power will lead to a steady growth in strength within Al Qaeda,” Hussein predicts. Meanwhile, attacks against the Middle East petroleum industry will continue, and America’s power will deteriorate through the constant expansion of the circle of confrontation. “By then, Al Qaeda will have completed its electronic capabilities, and it will be time to use them to launch electronic attacks to undermine the U.S. economy.” Islamists will promote the idea of using gold as the international medium of exchange, leading to the collapse of the dollar.

Then an Islamic caliphate can be declared, inaugurating the fifth stage of Al Qaeda’s grand plan, which will last until 2016. “At this stage, the Western fist in the Arab region will loosen, and Israel will not be able to carry out preëmptive or precautionary strikes,” Hussein writes. “The international balance will change.” Al Qaeda and the Islamist movement will attract powerful new economic allies, such as China, and Europe will fall into disunity.

The sixth phase will be a period of “total confrontation.” The now established caliphate will form an Islamic Army and will instigate a worldwide fight between the “believers” and the “non-believers.” Hussein proclaims, “The world will realize the meaning of real terrorism.” By 2020, “definitive victory” will have been achieved. Victory, according to the Al Qaeda ideologues, means that “falsehood will come to an end. . . . The Islamic state will lead the human race once again to the shore of safety and the oasis of happiness.”

Al Qaeda’s version of utopia has drawn the allegiance of a new generation of Arabs, who have been tutored on the Internet by ideologues such as Suri and Naji. This “third generation of mujahideen,” as Suri calls them, have been radicalized by September 11th, the occupation of Iraq, and the Palestinian intifada. (Suri wrote this before the current struggle in Lebanon.) Those jihadis fighting in the conflict in Iraq have been trained in vicious urban warfare against the most formidable army in history. They will return to their home countries and add their expertise to the new cells springing up in the Middle East, Central Asia, the Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, and many European nations....

Although American and European intelligence communities are aware of the jihadi texts, the work of these ideologues often reads like a playbook that U.S. policymakers have been slavishly, if inadvertently, following....

As the writings of Abu Musab al-Suri, Abu Bakr Naji, Fouad Hussein, and others make clear, the tradition of Salafi jihad existed before bin Laden and Al Qaeda and will likely survive them; yet, from the beginning of the war on terror, the strategy of the Administration has been to decapitate Al Qaeda’s leadership. Bruce Hoffman, who is the author of “Inside Terrorism” and a professor at Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service, told me, “One of the problems with the kill-or-capture metric is that it has often been to the exclusion of having a deeper, richer understanding of the movement, its origins, and our adversaries’ mindset. The nuances are absolutely critical. Our adversaries are wedded to the ideology that informs and fuels their struggle, and, by not paying attention, we risk not knowing our enemy.”

32 Comments:

At 9/20/2006 01:15:00 PM, Blogger raf* said...

dear josh,

maybe i'm just in a pissy mood ... but those quotes are way too long.

and - i do wonder about the intelligence of your friend massoud who doesn't realize that in the sentence "There are some alarming clips in the documentary, where Azzam's son says there will be something like 960,000 fighters in Damascus, specifically Halab, where there will be a battle against the invading forces." it is quite obvious that the arabic "Al-Sham" refers here to either Syria or "Bilad al-Sham" (i.e. JordanLebanonPalestineSyria) but obviously not to "Damascus". "Halab" here is, of course, Aleppo.

did you translate it into english or did Massoud?

also, the devil inside me is wondering if you're posting all these "Al-Qa'ida strategies for Bilad al-Sham" articles to bolster your "the regime could not did not would not orchestrate an attack on the U.S. embassy" argument.

i was too busy to comment on that whole debate, so here my 5 lira: A regime like the Ba'thi one in syria would OF COURSE not think twice about sacrificing a few security guards for the "greater good"! josh - you've lived long enough in the region & studied it. you KNOW that a sizeable number of people in a regime like the syrian (or the iraqi - past & present, or any other in the region) don't give a shit about the lives of underlings.

NOW, i'm not saying that the regime did it - i do prefer the "let's not rush to statements of guilt" approach - but flat-out "proving why it made no sense for the regime to do that" just doesn't fly, either.

quite frankly - i want to see prisoners, you know ... LIVE ONES. and i want them to be questioned by non-syrians. sorry, but i didn't trust soviet propaganda & i won't trust the ba'thi one. maybe i'm too harsh - but if 20 million syrians don't trust their government, why should i?

cheers,

--raf*

www.aqoul.com

 
At 9/20/2006 01:37:00 PM, Blogger Anton Efendi said...

Some relevant quotes:

"Al-Qaida sees Syria as a temporar[y] and necessary ally in the war against America and Jews." -- Joshua Landis.

"The al-Qaeda type jihadist groups are not emerging in Syria because Syria encourages them in other countries." -- Joshua Landis.

 
At 9/20/2006 01:51:00 PM, Blogger t_desco said...

"The documentary goes on to narrate how Al Qaeda's man in Lebanon was arrested and then 'died' in detention. His supporters claim he was tortured and killed."

Probably Isma'il Mohammad al-Khatib (head of the "the Ahmed Miqati and Ismaíl Al-Khatib network"; Mehlis I, §81) who died in custody on September 27, 2004.

I wonder who was presented as the founder of Jund al-Sham (which one, btw)? Abu Youssef Sharkiah?

 
At 9/20/2006 02:21:00 PM, Blogger EHSANI2 said...

The homegrown version of Al-Qa’ida tried but failed to shake up this regime in the late 1970’s. Thanks to one of the most efficient and ruthless security and intelligence services, that dream was put to rest since.

What gives the non-home grown Al-Qa’ida members the thought that “they” could succeed when their local brothers failed is a question that needs to be asked.

Al-Qa’ida types only succeed when the countries that they intend to destabilize do not have the guts or the capability to hit them hard. This is one area that the Syrian regime can be proud of.

Were I a member of Al-Qa’ida, I would be looking for friendlier foes to mess with. I believe that the higher ups of that organization share my sentiment.

 
At 9/20/2006 04:47:00 PM, Blogger majedkhaldoon said...

Alex
Your question is unfair to Atassie,there are over 100 I can name to do better job than Bashar, ,would it be fair to name them here?,they will be in jail next day,also you may not know them,and we should take their permission first, example A.Bunnie,or H Maleh,Dr. Ryad A.,Osama G.,A Baroody,the list goes on.

 
At 9/20/2006 07:14:00 PM, Blogger Fares said...

USA, Syria Accomplices in torture

 
At 9/20/2006 07:30:00 PM, Blogger why-discuss said...

Shia Hezbollah and Iran are turning out to be the protector of Lebanon and Syria against the machiavelic Sunni Al Qaeda and Salafism plans. What an irony for the 14 mars anti-iranian lebanese politicians. Would they realize that if Brammertz report implicates Salafism instead of the Syrians?

 
At 9/20/2006 09:20:00 PM, Blogger Ameen Always said...

News agencies are reporting today that an American team is heading to Syria to investigate the US Embassy attack.

فريق امريكى فى سوريا للتحقيق بشأن الهجوم على السفارة


قالت متحدثة باسم وزارة الخارجية الثلاثاء ان الولايات المتحدة سوف ترسل فريقا من ضباط اتحاديين الى سوريا للتحقيق فى هجوم فاشل على السفارة الامريكية فى دمشق وكان اربعة سوريين حاولوا نسف السفارة فى 12 من سبتمبر ايلول لكن مؤامرتهم باءت بالفشل بعد ان قتل حراس سوريون ثلاثة من المهاجمين فى تراشق بالرصاص وتوفى الرابع متأثرا بجراحه فى وقت لاحق. وقالت نانسى بك المتحدثة باسم وزارة الخارجية "ضابط الامن الاقليمى فى السفارة الامريكية فى دمشق يتعاون عن كثب مع المسؤولين السوريين الذين سيسهلون التحقيق." وقالت بك ان فريقا مشتركا من مكتب التحقيقات الاتحادى ومكتب الامن الدبلوماسى سيسافر الى دمشق لتقديم مزيد من المساعدة فى التحقيق. واضافت ان وزارة الخارجية راضية عن مستوى التعاون السورى فى التحقيق

 
At 9/20/2006 09:20:00 PM, Blogger Ameen Always said...

This post has been removed by a blog administrator.

 
At 9/21/2006 08:39:00 AM, Blogger EHSANI2 said...

http://alanbat.net/News/ViewMainNews.asp?NID=158486&SID=10

The craziness of this case continues.

 
At 9/21/2006 09:29:00 AM, Blogger Alex said...

alanbat ?! ... what took you to alanbat's website?

Here is the best part of that earth shattering interview

الانباط: الشاهد الملك في قضية الحريري مرت فترة طويلة على قضية التحقيق في اغتيال رئيس الوزراء اللبناني الاسبق ما الجديد في هذه القضية؟
الصديق: اولا لقد تم استفزازي بشكل كبير عندما قرأت قبل يومين ما بثته وكالة شام برس من ان هناك ثلاثة ضباط من المخابرات الاردنية تعمل مع الفريق الطبي العامل في لبنان وذلك لنقل معلومات الى الموساد الاسرائيلي ورغبت بالرد عليهم، واقول لم يكن هنالك في اي يوم من الايام احد من الضباط الاردنيين او القادة من جلالة المغفور له الملك الحسين رحمه الله او الملك عبد الله الا وكان سباقا في الحفاظ على قضايا الامة العربية وخاصة قضية فلسطين،

 
At 9/21/2006 10:19:00 AM, Blogger Ausamaa said...

Try again guys.

Another dead end…..!!!!!

Al Qaida in Syria??

Sure, but only in the Mazza or the Tadmur Prison or mostly killed at the point of infiltration. Syria is not Iraq, Jordan or Saudi where the real reasons for Al Qaida presence are aplenty. Syria is Syria. And Syrian society and culture does not provide the ideal breading ground for Al Qaida like stuff. So, rest assured, it is not in the cards seriously. Same as Dubai is not but for different reasons of course. If you can get what I mean.
Syria is anti Israel, anti imperialism, anti US policies, and the leading pro Pan Arab, Pro Palestine, anti Zionist country in the Arab World and the Mena. So why should Al Qaida mess with it –even if it could do so-????? And please remember that back in the eighties when the less crazy Muslim Brotherhood which was supported by all the Half men and the US were wiped out in a matter of weeks when they began to really become a nuisance, then what chances does al Qaida Have, apart from what reasons.

Again, for anti Syrians and anti Arabism, hope "does" spring eternal.

But it quickly dies in its infancy.

 
At 9/21/2006 10:34:00 AM, Blogger Ausamaa said...

Al Siddiq, is lovely!!!!!!: "جلالةالمغفور "له الملك حسين أو الملك عبد الله سباقا في ...."

Now we know where the wittness Siddiq came from. Or Trying to say he came from.

And the guy is not only a mere deserter who "saw" Trucks being loaded with explosives and wittnessed "meeting" where plots were plotted. No he is now being elevated to defend Al Maghfour lahu _for What exactly we do not know, but it must have been a lot of things_ king Hussain, and King Abdulah.Current Jordanian, or the Saudi? We should noe await "the authorised source in you-know-where-to dissasociate themselves from this recital.

Damn! even reformed and born again Khaddam could not make such claimes.

I am sure Badran, and the Efendi (Michael Young) can use this in the future insightful articles as background materials.

 
At 9/21/2006 01:11:00 PM, Blogger t_desco said...

“Rome Will be Conquered” – Statement from Jund al-Sham Concerning Comments Made by Pope Benedict XVI on Islam and the Prophet Muhammad
SITE Institute

 
At 9/21/2006 01:38:00 PM, Blogger Atassi said...

Ausamaa,
Yep, the Baath and The Progressive Front parties are the only game in town for now.
I know for fact, the Progressive Front parties can barely fill a bus with its members count. Shameful system you seem to like!!
Soon they will be gone.
Ps. I don't do SIX-PACK; I like LBC, and despise FOX

 
At 9/21/2006 01:46:00 PM, Blogger copy editor said...

Zawahiri's tape for the anniversary of 9/11 said that al Qaeda was shifting toward the Levant.

Great post.

 
At 9/21/2006 03:56:00 PM, Blogger copy editor said...

I recommend this analysis in addition to the material you discussed.

http://jamestown.org/terrorism/news/article.php?articleid=2370137

 
At 9/21/2006 05:23:00 PM, Blogger majedkhaldoon said...

(AlQaeda is shifting toward the Levant), this is because they expect changes in Syria, with new Regime,who will give in to USA demands,it will be followed by military coup,the instability will create conditions favorable to AlQaeda to work,as I said before, when power seekers collide,expect violent bloodshed,the end of Bashar regime is coming soon.

 
At 9/22/2006 07:09:00 AM, Blogger t_desco said...

War Signals

As reports circulate of a sharp debate within the White House over possible US military action against Iran and its nuclear enrichment facilities, The Nation has learned that the Bush Administration and the Pentagon have issued orders for a major "strike group" of ships, including the nuclear aircraft carrier Eisenhower as well as a cruiser, destroyer, frigate, submarine escort and supply ship, to head for the Persian Gulf, just off Iran's western coast. This information follows a report in the current issue of Time magazine, both online and in print, that a group of ships capable of mining harbors has received orders to be ready to sail for the Persian Gulf by October 1.
...

Colonel Gardiner, who has taught military strategy at the National War College, says that the carrier deployment and a scheduled Persian Gulf arrival date of October 21 is "very important evidence" of war planning. He says, "I know that some naval forces have already received 'prepare to deploy orders' [PTDOs], which have set the date for being ready to go as October 1. Given that it would take about from October 2 to October 21 to get those forces to the Gulf region, that looks about like the date" of any possible military action against Iran. (A PTDO means that all crews should be at their stations, and ships and planes should be ready to go, by a certain date--in this case, reportedly, October 1.) Gardiner notes, "You cannot issue a PTDO and then stay ready for very long. It's a very significant order, and it's not done as a training exercise." This point was also made in the Time article.
Dave Lindorff/The Nation

 
At 9/22/2006 10:59:00 AM, Blogger majedkhaldoon said...

Nasrallah speech was very strong,enlightening,unifying,he was very brave,we sunneh are not going to convert to Shi-ah,but strongly support Nassrallah

 
At 9/22/2006 12:02:00 PM, Blogger Atassi said...

Nasralla \ the Lebanese peoples done very well for sure, I hope Hezbollah will invest the positive dividends of this war in a smart and useful way for all of Lebanon, otherwise, it's going to be a curses for us all..

 
At 9/22/2006 02:01:00 PM, Blogger Alex said...

Nasrallah is a highly intelligent and analytical man.

Yet, his speech was coherent with the positions taken by all the other parties involved ... all are declaring their "final" non-negotiable positions... all are escalating.

I don't see presidents Bush and Chirac, and prime minister Blair leaving the scene to the Syrian and Iranian presidents to push their agendas.

Within the next year or two there will be decicive political or military actions taken.

God help us.

 
At 9/22/2006 03:54:00 PM, Blogger Ausamaa said...

t-disco

the same TIME article also says:"The fact that admirals are reviewing plans for blockades is hardely proof thier intentions. The US military routinely makes plans for a scores of scenarios, the vast majority of which will never be put to practice. "Planners always plan", says a Pentagon official. Apart from the article's noting Zinni comment that "all that makes an attack on Iran a dumb idea", the article goes on to qout an Administration official as saying: "Nobody is considering a military option at this stage"

So much for the TIME article; but as far as I know, US military doctorine is based on the ability to fight "two conventional wars". At the same time. Had this changed? at a time when the US military is stretched out so thinly and not facing great successes at either???

And the date October 22 is a little funny one. Too close to election and to winter stormes. Who in his right mind want to give the Democrates an additional reason to accuse the Adminstration of more Recklessness and Adventurism??? After all Iran is not nuclear yet, and when it becomes so, it would not really harm the US directly. So why not leave it to someonelese to worry about. Bush has enough on his plate if Nassralah's resistance in "small" Lebanon could be considered a mini-example of what to expect in larger theaters elsewhere.

Bravado, pride, hightened rethoric, and neo-con agendas or not, the Pentagon would not allow itself to be dubbed into another costly venture. And I think its too much for the near departing Dubbya administration to live with the consequences even for the sake of its usless child Israel which seems to have become more of a liability than an assest. Not only that, but it refuses to continue the fight in Lebanon, and it contradicts the general guidlines of the current US policy of not talking to Syria, and without consulting Dubbya some of its pillars call for considering restarting peace negotiations with Syria. Imagine!!!!

Against all doomsday scenarios, I detect - maybe prematurely- signs of a shift. And God fearing, re-born belivers are more prone to experience a second re-borning, especially if they continued experiencing nightmares following the first re-borning. Either that or Dubbya & Co. may have decieded that what can not be cured, must be endured.

Who knows? but every cloud has a silver lining, as they say.

 
At 9/22/2006 04:26:00 PM, Blogger t_desco said...

Ausamaa,

I hope you are right. Attacking Iran is a "dumb idea", but unfortunately this did not stop them in the past.


Palestinian extremist killed in clash in refugee camp in south Lebanon

SIDON, Lebanon A Palestinian extremist was killed Friday in Lebanon's largest refugee camp following a clash with a member of another Islamic fundamentalist group, a security official said.

Ali Abdelmajid Taha, a leading guerrilla in Jund al-Sham, a Sunni fundamentalist group based in the refugee camp of Ein el-Hilweh near the southern port city of Sidon, received a bullet to his head when a dispute with Shehada Jawhar, a member of another extremist group, developed into an armed clash.

Taha, 30, was taken to a nearby hospital where he died shortly afterward, said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak to the press. Taha and Jawhar, an official with the Palestinian Asbat al-Ansar extremist group, are both wanted on several arrest warrants on suspicion of carrying out violent acts.

Members of Jund al-Sham, a small group, have clashed in the past with Asbat al-Ansar, which is listed on the U.S. State Department's list of terrorist organizations. The Palestinian Jund al-Sham is believed to be separate from a grop of the same name blamed for attacks in Syria.
IHT/AP

Gunman kills factional rival in Ain al-Hilweh
By Mohammed Zaatari

SIDON: A Palestinian gunman shot dead a member of a rival faction in South Lebanon on Friday, witnesses said. Shehade Jawhar of the Esbat al-Ansar Islamist militant group was said to have killed Ali Abd al-Majeed, 33, a militant with the Jund al-Sham faction, just outside Ain al-Hilweh, the largest Palestinian refugee camp in Lebanon. ...

Abd al-Majeed was considered one of the camp's main "troublemakers," one resident told The Daily Star.

"He came to the area a year ago when he fled his quarter, 700 meters from Ain al-Hilweh, after he hit one of his neighbors," the resident said.

"He used to shoot at the Lebanese Army and throw hand grenades at its checkpoints. Many arrest warrants were issued against Abd al-Majeed but security bodies failed to capture him," the resident added.
The Daily Star

 
At 9/22/2006 08:33:00 PM, Blogger ugarit said...

If I were a participant in the Bush regime I would not target Iran, at the moment. It's too powerful. Iraq was picked because it was too weak to defend itself. The weaker party here is Syria and would be a relatively easier target. "God" save the planet.

 
At 9/23/2006 12:06:00 AM, Blogger Alex said...

Moualem did not sound optimistic at all:

وأعرب المعلم في حديث اجرته معه «الشرق الأوسط» في نيويورك عن قناعته بوجود فرصة لمعالجة مشاكل المنطقة بعد الحرب الإسرائيلية على لبنان، ولكنه ابدى تشاؤما قائلا إن هذه الفرصة ضئيلة «بسبب الضغط الإسرائيلي وبفعل الهيمنة الأميركية على الوضع». وأضاف «أعتقد أن هذه الفرصة ستضيع وستموت وستصبح المنطقة عرضة للمخاطر»

Ausama, this administration still has enough time to do a lot of damage before they leave. I am not sure Syria should challenge them and make it difficult for them NOT to do something foolish in return.

 
At 9/23/2006 12:40:00 AM, Blogger Fares said...

http://freesyria.wordpress.com/2006/09/22/the-difference-is-obvious/

 
At 9/23/2006 02:14:00 AM, Blogger t_desco said...

U.S. wary of al Qaeda's Lebanese ambitions

OXFORD, England, Sept 23 (Reuters) - The United States is taking seriously the possibility that al Qaeda could expand its activities into Lebanon, exploiting the conflict there, intelligence chief John Negroponte said.

He said such a move, already publicly urged by al Qaeda leaders, could not be ruled out despite the chasm between the predominantly Sunni Muslim group and Lebanon's militant Shi'ite Hizbollah, which ended a 34-day war with Israel last month.

Negroponte said al Qaeda's ambition to expand in the region had been stated in a letter from its deputy leader Ayman al-Zawahri to its then chief in Iraq, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, which was intercepted and released by the United States last year.

"He talked about the priority attached to being successful in Iraq so it could then be used as a platform to extend their activities into the Levant, meaning Jordan, Syria and Lebanon," Negroponte told Reuters and the International Herald Tribune in an interview on Friday.

"It's not clear to me whether or not they've got a basis for successful activity in Lebanon, since the stronger Muslim sect in Lebanon is Shia. But I wouldn't rule that out. And there's been some evidence of al Qaeda activity in Lebanon," he added without elaborating.
Reuters

 
At 9/23/2006 03:19:00 PM, Blogger Alex said...

Too bad he is not in the majority these days

قال وزير الدفاع الإسرائيلي عمير بيرتس إن سوريا هي "مفتاح الاستقرار" في الشرق الأوسط، مجددا معارضته لغلق باب التفاوض معها.

وأضاف في تصريحات للإذاعة الإسرائيلية العامة أن دمشق هي حلقة الوصل في ما وصفه بمحور التطرف الإسلامي "الممتد من إيران إلى لبنان"، في إشارة إلى الدعم الذي تقدمه دمشق وطهران لحزب الله.

 
At 8/16/2007 11:34:00 AM, Blogger Maldives Islands said...

I would recommend referring other sources as well.

Web Directory

 
At 10/04/2007 02:30:00 AM, Blogger Shahid Shah said...

they never did it. did they

alqeada is death now

--

How To Make Money With Google Adsense
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At 5/28/2008 12:28:00 PM, Blogger jhon said...

Interested, thank








http://resetterprinters.blogspot.com

 

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